Friday, November 9, 2012

Nate Silver predictions about Obama's victory

Silver, 34 years old, a graduate of the University of Chicago, and a computer expert. He gave Obama a 90 percent chance of winning the re-election, on his blog FiveThirtyEight, he predicted, to the number of votes in the Electoral College, that the president will get 51 percent of the popular vote as he predicted each of the 50 states, including nine battlegrounds.

"Nate Silver is right," said Bill Burton, who moved from the White House to a pro-Obama political action committee Super Priority Actions USA.

National daily tracking poll Gallup Republican candidate Mitt Romney put forward by 5 percent until terminated due superstorm Sandy, and a final national survey released Monday gives 1 point Republican advantage.

"This poll is designed only to measure what happens when a poll in the national popular vote" and not "designed to be predictive," says Gallup Editor-in-Chief Frank Newport.

With the count in Florida remains to be done, Obama leads Romney by 2 percentage points, 50 percent to 48 percent, and won a decisive victory of the University of Elections.

Two university-based survey agency to join as Silver correctly predicted by predicting an Obama victory, and one of them will be lost through the ballot tally.

Drew Linzer, assistant professor of political science at Emory University in Atlanta and a former poll based in California, is expected on Tuesday morning that Obama would end the competition with 332 electoral votes and 206 Romney.

Sam Wang, an associate professor of neuroscience at Princeton University, posted a final prediction - that Obama is likely to get 303 electoral votes to 235 Romney - in the school election blog at 2 pm on Tuesday. He revised total of 332 Obama downward based on the poll late Tuesday.

In Florida, with 29 electoral votes, has not been called by The Associated Press. The results will determine which of the final estimate of their true eventually.

Source :,0,4373603.story